Tuesday, April 8, 2025

2025 6th April, Day 9 from Bangor across the North Channel.

DRAFT WIP

More pictures and video to follow, having band width problems and my back is aching.

An excellent sail for a change although chilly. After a reasonable amount of sleep, but still not enough, I had the anchor up at 07:15 and was under sail soon after in a rising wind that topped out at F4. The  cruising chute went up lust before 11 as I was able to bear off in the now south easterly wind once past the Maidens. It stayed up until 12:30 when wind picked up to 15 knots when I could make good speed under fore and aft sails.

pics to follow (the Maidens, Mull of Kintyre)

I just made the tide off The Mull of Kintyre at 14:00 and headed up the west side. The wind started playing tricks increasing briefly to 22 knots from the south then dropping to 6 - 10 nots before swinging all over the place at a few knots so the engine when on at 15:20 and I was at anchor in Machrihanish Bay at 17:00.

More on the anchorage, the airfield etc to follow.

Video (already on Facebook) and photos of the anchorage to follow.

The last time I was at Machrihanish. Left base to land on the
very long cold war runway, it was a dispersal site for nuclear
bombers, RAF V force (Vulcans) and USAF (B52s).
It may look bland but this egg fried rice with chicken etc. tasted good.
Arriving at a sensible time, one of the reasons for not going further north the other being 5 hours of adverse tide, I had time to cook. 

I was a bit put out, I cooked off two portions of chicken in a little olive oil that I had got from a "traditional" butcher in Howth, by the time they were done so much water had come out of them that the chicken stock covered the diced chicken. One portion for the "special" fried rice the other with some sweet and sour cook in sauce for tomorrow.
9 hours 45 minutes for the 49 GPS miles.


2025 5th April, Day 8 to Bangor.

 DRAFT WIP

probably more pics to follow, bandwidth is an issue at the moment.

Saturday night's fortifying curry, no cooking on 
Sunday due to the high seas and later tiredness.

I woke before the alarm so was away 30 minutes early at 03:30. In the shelter of the marina the wind was about 12 knots and fortunately just off the bow on the pontoon side, this allowed me to take off and stow the two bow lines, two because of the strong wind and awkwardly positioned cleats on the pontoon, the breast line holding the boat and the wind blowing the bow off. I was also able to stow the 3 forward fenders, and move the fourth a few inches aft to the other side of a stanchion so I could slide it back as I shoved off. 

This was good news as the water immediately outside the harbour was likely to be, and was, rough and I would have little time inside whilst leaving as the channel is very narrow and I would have to steer. Everything except the midships line was now in reach from the cockpit, the line stayed where it was until late afternoon when the seas calmed down.

The wind also helped me turn round in the channel that is little over a boat length wide, after casting off and hoping aboard the boat move back and the bow blew off so I was able to quickly get to the outside of the channel and then turn hard right into the first avenue between two unoccupied hammerheads with the wind helping the turn as it did when I went hard astern to generate a lot of "prop walk" pushing the bow to starboard, a few seconds of that and I was off.

The seas were very unpleasant in the shallow water so I headed directly out to sea for deeper water and to make an offing round Ireland's Eye. When I bore off it was evident that with the wind well north of east I would not be able weather Lamby Island so I had to keep the engine on for another hour and a half until I was about a mile to windward of the Island and the wind veered. With a strong F5 I set just a reefed jib and then had to further reef it further to slow the boat down to give the autopilot a chance to cope with a very steep cross sea without also having to handle weather help, before doing so I was making better than 7 knots with one reef in the headsail. At one time a wave broke on the boat and I ended up with about 4 inches of water in the cockpit, I can't remember the last time that happened.

Once things had calmed down somewhat I was able to take a video which, as always makes the sea look less rough than it was.

Reaching in a F5.

Later, at 13:30 the Irish Coastguard broadcast the weather forecast from 12:00 withdrawing the small craft warning of F6 winds, clearly no one was looking out the window at the met office because I was sailing in F6 briefly at about 11:30 then from 12:00 to 13:15, fortunately the sea was much calmer than earlier and calmer than in the video.

The wind started to drop from F5 at around 14:30 and I hoisted the mainsail just before 16:00 and put on the engine half an hour later as the wind had gone. Fortunately the sea around here often dies almost as quickly as the wind and, with the tide behind me for the first time on this leg (North of approximately Dundalk the tides reverses with the flood running to the south).
2 miles from Donaghadee Sound, passed through at the end
of twilight.
The passage through Donaghadee Sound on the neap tide was as benign as it gets with barely 1.5 knots (vs 7 or 8 at springs) and I was at anchor in Ballyholme Bay just east of Bangor at 22:15.

89 miles in just under 19 hours, and I was very tired and feeling very old after the excursions' of the morning - mainly just holding on to the boat.

Saturday, April 5, 2025

2025 5th April, Days 4 - 7 Howth.

It has been a frustrating time in Howth with the wind alternating between nothing and F6 or above but with no window long enough to move on, but at least it was dry most of the time. Sunday will be the first opportunity although it could be bumpy at times, especially leaving.

For a change on Saturday the gas ran out during morning coffee making rather than when cooking something in the oven. And even more unusually I was in a marina and the local chandlery had Campinggaz 907 bottles in stock, now with 3 full bottles on board I should have enough for the rest of the trip although I will replace empty ones when possible just in case.

I  have finished all of the the fresh meat I started with so went to the convenience store that had plenty yesterday to find no diced beef and no chicken, except in huge family packs. I had to make do with some burgers and mince. I also went to the butchers and got a couple of chicken breasts which, not being prepacked, will need using up soon.

Click here for the next leg north

Friday, April 4, 2025

2025 2nd April Day 3 - ?, Weather and Options, Part 2,

Update Thursday.

Thursday was previously in what is now Part 1. Click here to skip to the next post.

Some divergence between the models for Sunday , if the UKMO is correct it could be rather more  blowy than I would like until lunch time. You never know this might be what happens.
ECMWF & UKMO models for early Sunday.
Lunch time Sunday
Sunday evening.
A bigger divergence on Monday, if the UKMO is correct 
it could get a bit rough in the North Channel, especially when 
the tide turns south at around 14:30.
The ECMWF is backing off on the strong winds on Friday week with the stronger winds further to the NW, but with the stable weather pattern briefly breaking down (see the met office video above) it is anyone's guess what will happen,

Update Friday morning:

Models still in agreement and minimal change thru Sunday lunch time.
Better agreement than previous on Sunday evening favouring
the ECMWFs previous forecast - not untypical beyond 3 days
the ECMWF tends to be better than the UKMO with the latter
 better short term. If this happened exactly (unlikely) I would
be motoring from c 19:00 (Predictwind interpolates between the
forecast points, for the UKMO model they are one hour apart
for 2 days then every 3 hours). I suspect close to land it would be
rather earlier which at least would keep the average up.
Having nothing better to do with my time I spend 10 minutes
recalculating using 4.5 knots as a conservative speed under sail
given the predicted wind and 5.2 knots from Skulmartin under
engine in a slightly choppy sea. Under this scenario I would be in
my bunk around midnight local time and I suspect somewhat earlier
making an early start on Monday a good proposition.
Again good agreement for Monday lunch time, IF this happened I
would be making good speed under the cruising chute or spinnaker.
Which would be just as well as by late evening the wind is
likely to be gone, the good news is that with a southerly wind
much of the day Machrihanish Bay comes into play if going has
been slow but if I could make 4.5 knots and leave at 06:00L it
would be unnecessary as I could just get to Ardminish in daylight.
The ECMWF has given up on strong winds for Friday and both
models are predicting lots of light fluky winds through next
week. Again I have heard that before! But it is in line with the
Met Office 10 day look ahead in the video referenced in the
part 1 of this post.

The above is for Wednesday showing an anti-cyclone (high) stuck over UK
which hopefully will at least give seasonally warm temperatures. 

I await the next few download with baited breath!

Friday pm.

Raining so a bit more planning rather than a trip into Dublin.
Revised outline plan, an extra day or two resting and going up
the sound of Jura in light weather would not be a problem and
could enable a visit to Coll on route to Barra.
The sound of Luing (or the Sound of Islay) is the key to getting out of the Sound of Jura as tides run up to 5 knots at neaps and 7 knots as springs. If planning to make for the Sound of Mull from Fladda (Luing narrows) there are c 13 miles to go to Duart Point and another 7 to the entrance of Loch Aline so you can't leave too late in the tide or it will turn foul before you get there.

Tides start N and W through Dorus Mor (if coming from Crinan) and N through the Sound of Luing at HW Dover - 01:00 on springs and – 0:15 at neaps. 

The 11th is 4 days after neaps, so approx. Dover – 0:38. slack for c 40 mins

HW Dover April 2025
10th 11:00 turning N at 10:22
11th 11:40 turning N at 11:02
12th 12:10 turning N at 11:42

If at Gallanach Bay (Crinan) leave 30 minutes before, otherwise be off Sgeir na Maoile no earlier than the same time.

Tide turns adverse off Duart c 18:00 on the 11th.

Saturday update.

Not a great deal of change in the forecast and good agreement between the models through Wednesday, it looks like very slow going or the engine from Tuesday and possibly on Monday. 

Leaving time on Sunday.
Inshore forecast for Sunday from the UKMO from Sunday 12:00Z:

Lough Foyle to Carlingford Lough 

Outlook for the following 24 hours: East or southeast 3 to 5, becoming variable 2 to 4 for a time at first. Smooth or slight, occasionally moderate at first. Fair. Good.


Mull of Galloway to Mull of Kintyre including the Firth of Clyde and North Channel

Outlook for the following 24 hours: Easterly or southeasterly 3 to 5 in North Channel, otherwise variable 2 to 4. Smooth or slight, occasionally moderate at first in North Channel. Fair. Good.

And Met Éireann (for the whole of Ireland):

Outlook for a further 24 hours until 06:00, Monday 07 April 2025

Fresh east to southeast winds decreasing moderate to fresh on Sunday morning and decreasing light to moderate in the evening. Fair apart from a little drizzle in the southwest.

Forecast issued at: 06:00, Saturday 05 April 2025

So it looks like a go for tomorrow morning although it could be rather bumpy getting out past Irelands Eye, to be confirmed this evening.


Now it's the UKMO model suggesting strong winds on Friday
Click here for the next post.

Wednesday, April 2, 2025

2025 2nd April Day 3 - ?, Weather and Options, Part 1

Wednesday 3rd.

Contrary to my post on Facebook I have shown great restraint and there is no big whinge but anoraks on, this is intended to get my thoughts together, to keep track of trends and to kill some time. It’s probably mainly of interest to new and aspiring yachties. 

Click here to jump to the action.

Written in several stages as I go through the planning process.

Lunch time:

Very unusually all of the models are consistent into next week, differing only in local details mainly waves on the isobars around the high pressure area, unfortunately the detail matters to me and they will almost certainly change!

The ECMWF and UKMO models for lunch time on Sunday
the GFS, Spire and Predictwind's PWG models are very similar
only Predict wind's PWE is different and not around UK, it
shows a second Atlantic low south of Greenland.
Close predictions from the ECMWF and UKMO for Sunday
lunchtime 
Winds start getting lite on Monday evening and very lite on Tuesday and turning to the North in places so a dash north as soon as the weather permits is the preferred option.

So the draft plan is to leave early Sunday but where too? The only viable options given the wind direction are likely to be Ardglass, Bangor or Larne / Brown's Bay. Ardglass gives the chance of more sleep but if the wind is stronger than forecast the entrance can be tricky and it is not that far north. The others are long legs and dependant on the getting through or bi-passing Donaghadee / Copeland Sound at the entrance to Belfast Lough. From my piece "Passage Making: The West Coast"

"The admiralty chart notes that "Only power-driven vessels with local knowledge and a speed of at least 10 knots should use the sound against the stream". Note also that the tide can switch very quickly, I have sneaked through north bound with the last of the favourable tide at Foreland Point and then had 2 knots against off Carn Point."

Tides run strong north from Strangford but there is not a lot to be done about that unless the arrival at Donaghadee is towards the end of the ebb (North of Dundalk the ebb runs north).

The tide turns N in the Sound @ HW Dover -01:15 and turns S @ HW Dover + 04:45

On Sunday

HW Dover is at 06:20 and 19:00

So a favourable tide from 05:05 till 11:05 & 17:45 till 23:45 and about 50 minutes later on Monday.

I have been through The Sound a number of times and am OK going through in the dark, especially a day from neaps. Care is required at all times and without local knowledge going through on a spring tide in the dark could be challenging if the GPS failed at the wrong moment.

I already had a route planned from Howth to Bangor from when I was last in Howth in 2023 (link opens in new window), although it needed a few tweaks to avoid Howth Sound at night which I have not been through before and to go outside Lambay Island - inside has loads of pot buoys.   This shows Bangor is feasible but at 4 knots is a very long day at 22 hours:

Seapro timings UCT, GMT in old non PC money.
PL = Port Lateral Buoy, NC = North Cardinal, etc.
Browns Bay would also be possible but Bangor gives a chance of a few hours sleep before heading further north, especially if I can make better than 4 knots which I should do. The model shows that at 4.5 knots I arrive at 23:34L, at 5 knots 21:53L and at an unlikely but possible 5.5 knots at 20:27L, probably +/- 30 minutes given it will be almost on neaps. In 2023 I took 19 hours.

Life is so much easier having the computer to do these calcs than working it out on paper, I doubt I would have done more than one or two manual sets of calcs.

Now I have to see if Bangor, across the north Channel to Gigha is feasible or if a short hop to Browns Browns Bay is in order. Unfortunately places further north on the Irish coast such as Red Bay are unlikely to be tenable after prolonged easterly winds.

Time for a break to ease my back and get a shower.

Late Afternoon:

Diesel replenished so in dire straights I have a range of 300 miles with a small reserve. Back to planning.

From Bangor the tide runs north from about 09:00, so time for a reasonable amount of sleep if I start c 08:00 it is an easy trip to Browns Bay but possible issues later with little or no wind. An option to test is a direct route across the North Channel from Bangor, something I have not done, although I did the reverse in May 2022 and June 2024 (links open in a new window), both were very tiring. 

The models all predict very favourable S - SE winds on Monday (I have heard that before!) but dying away starting in the east in the early evening, if that happened I would be under engine making c 5 knots at most economic speed which might help the average speed. Not something worth factoring in 5 days ahead but something to consider on the day.

Machrihanish bay (the Green anchor)
might be an option.
Unfortunately an 08:00 start from Bangor making 4 knots would not get me to Gigha until midnight and the anchorages I have used are not that easy to get into and are unlit. Ardminish Bay is lit and should be practical. To make it in daylight I would need to leave at 07:00 and make 4.5 knots or more realistically leave earlier and / or use the engine to make >= 5 knots for at least part of the way. At 5 knots leaving at 08:00 I would arrive at approximately 19:00.

A better alterative if the sea is calm, which it might well be after easterly winds, would be to anchor in Machrihanish Bay, 11 miles north of the south point of the Mull of Kyntire which at 4 knots I could get to at dusk. A good option but one that I can't rely on with a decision to anchor there only possible when close by.

[2 tables added Thursday]

08:00L start at 4 knts.
The earlier the start the better for the tide around the Mull
of Kintyre but after a long day on Sunday it is best to be
realistic and assume a sensible start time, if I'm awake I'll
go earlier. Times UTC.

A well lit alternate that I am quite familiar with is Port Ellen on Islay or the near by anchorage.

Route plan to Port Ellen.  at 4 knts and starting at 07:00 UTC.
I'll have to decide this on the day, depending on the then forecast and how tired I am but it is a good starting point and all options will work a day later, probably starting an hour later.

Once I am at Gigha, Islay or Machrihanish light winds are of less concern as I can while away the days making short hops visiting some new places, as long as I am somewhere safe if the promised strong winds arrive at the end of the week, a dash to Loch Aline on the Sound of Mull is probably favourite.

If the |ECMWF is correct I'll need to be somewhere safe by Friday
week. The GFS disagrees and the UKMO does not release info
that far ahead.
Will be updated through the week.

Update Wednesday evening. 

Weather anoraks or anyone particularly interested in the weather next week and for later in April this Met office video may be of interest. https://youtu.be/KjHVYPms76g?si=5ORMcvdZACQXM4ZT 

This was getting very long so I split it into two, click here for part two and here to skip the prognostications. 

2025 1st April, Day 3 to Howth.

Needing sleep and with the tide setting north at around 07:30 I did not set the alarm and was awake about then, tidied up, reviewed the weather - not good for the rest of the week, but I will leave the whinge for a separate post on the weather so it can be skipped and left at 08:40.

Wicklow anchorage.

Some wind set in as I was taking the above video and I was away shortly after in a nice but again chilly SE wind, mainly around 10 knots over the ground (less over the water with the strong tide) but occasionally reaching F5 and I had a quick passage to the north entrance to Dublin Bay.

The wind died away as I reached the main shipping channel and for once there was no traffic although the fast ferry was not too far away, so not wanting to hang around in the shipping channel and less than 4 miles from Howth I put the engine on and got the sails in for an orderly entrance to Howth at high water.

Ireland's Eye guarding Howth Sound, Howth marina out
of picture left.
Sunset close to low water 1 day after the spring tide.
Low water 2 days after the spring tide.


26.4 miles in 4:30.

2025 Milford to Howth